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- The VIX Rubber Band is About to Snap - Here's What Happens Next
The VIX Rubber Band is About to Snap - Here's What Happens Next
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The VIX Rubber Band is About to Snap - Here's What Happens Next
By Brandon Chapman CMT
The VIX 3-month ratio is north of 1.2. That's steep contango. That's the rubber band stretched to snapping point.
And when that snap comes? It doesn't whisper. It punches.
I've watched this movie for 20 years, and I know exactly how it ends: you either recognize the stretch and hedge, or you ride blind into the fence. Right now, we've got big-time divergences between spot VIX and the three-month that aren't just theory - this is battle-tested experience screaming at you to pay attention.
Most traders see low VIX and think "all clear." Wrong. When the VIX 3-month ratio pushes above 1.2, you're not looking at complacency - you're looking at a coiled spring. The market's pricing in future volatility that current readings don't reflect.
This isn't normal structure anymore, folks. We're staring down a pasture full of wild moves and volatility that's barely been haltered yet...