When Perfect Setups Fail – Lessons from a Ghost Print Miss

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When Perfect Setups Fail – Lessons from a Ghost Print Miss
By Brandon Chapman, CMT

Sometimes you tee up the perfect swing and still whiff the ball. That’s what last week felt like.

We had a market with all the ingredients: geopolitical escalation in the Middle East, a bullish setup in energy, institutional call buying in oil names, and a clear signal from option flow. By all accounts, we should’ve seen a breakout. Instead, we got chop.

Let’s walk it back. Last Tuesday—shortened week due to Juneteenth—we saw large-scale call buying across energy: Exxon, XOP, CVX, Devon, COP, APA. Ghost Print members were well-positioned, riding XLE off the lows and locking in gains before the weekend. Then came news that the U.S. bombed three targets inside Iran. If there was ever a catalyst, that was it.

And yet... nothing…How do you ride the wave without getting wiped out? That’s what I’m here to dig into.